The rise and rise of emerging economies
Within the next decade the global competitive landscape will have changed dramatically. The BRICs
(Brazil, Russia, India and China) plus others will have driven their way into the top league. To remain
competitive, large and small companies across the world need to decide what this means for their
organisation and where their people resource is best deployed.
Using gross domestic product (GDP) as
a measure, from 2002 to 2009 the BRIC
economies grew by 83%, CEE Europe by
46.9%, Asia by 62.4% and US, Western
Europe and the UK by 12.3%, 9% and
9.5% respectively. At the existing rate of
growth, it is widely forecast that within 20
years the world’s mature economies will
be overtaken by resource-rich regions like
the Middle East, Brazil, Canada, Australia
and Russia, and people-rich regions such
as China and India. It appears that the US,
Western Europe and Japan, among others,
face major challenges.
Globalisation will undoubtedly reduce the
clarity of who owns what and where, but
will accentuate the importance of the
employment centre location. Work is likely
to move increasingly to where the skills
are available, employment costs represent
best value and the social environment is
conducive to workforce agility.
In the 13th Annual Global CEO Survey,
53% of respondents were somewhat or
extremely concerned with the effect of
low-cost competition on growth
prospects. In order to compete, we expect
organisations will favour international
locations where the labour force and their
government are noticeably orientated
towards innovation and productivity.
People will be more internationally mobile
too, with employers establishing talent
banks drawing on the skills and
knowledge of a culturally diverse team.
How organisations can stay ahead
The dilemma for many mature economy
governments, specifically in Western
Europe, is how to balance entrenched
social wellbeing policies while competing
with more highly productive and lower-cost
territories. For Western Europe, the
recession has highlighted how powerful
and agile competing countries have
become. Governments will need to ensure
that elements such as employment law,
taxes and education standards are
appropriately structured to attract
employers and key talent.
Organisations in BRIC and other emerging
countries are not without their own
challenges. The increasingly talented
population are likely to become more
internationally mobile, while demographic
shifts and reward expectations will drive
wage increases.
If they have not already, it is critical for
organisations, large and small, to plan for
their increasingly globalised future.
Remaining competitive will require
organisations to assess their own
productivity versus the market and to decide
who should produce (the company’s own
employees or via an outsourced agreement),
where to produce (determining the value
derived from outsourced services) and
when to make changes. The winners will
be those organisations that move early to
identified locations with the right people
for the job.
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